Released data

US Labor Market

Latest June 2026 · monthly, seasonally adjusted · establishment and household surveys · series from 1939
Payrolls
+57k
Jun 2026
3-month average
+111k
trend pace
Unemployment rate
4.2%
Jun 2026
Participation
61.5%
labour force
Hourly earnings
3.5%
year over year
Openings per unemployed
1.04
May 2026
Range From To Shaded = NBER recession
Scroll to zoom, drag to select a window · hold the middle mouse button (or Shift) and drag to slide through time, on any panel including the component grid · every panel follows · double-click to reset · click any legend entry to hide or restore it · shaded bands mark NBER-dated US recessions, peak to trough

Payrolls

monthly change, thousands of jobs
Source: Macro Edge Research · underlying data U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

The trend, and the other survey

a single month is revised twice · the averages are the signal
Source: Macro Edge Research · underlying data U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Unemployment

headline and the broader U-6 measure
Source: Macro Edge Research · underlying data U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Sahm rule

real-time basis · 0.50pp has historically marked recession onset
Source: Macro Edge Research · underlying data U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Participation & employment

Source: Macro Edge Research · underlying data U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

How long people stay unemployed

weeks
Source: Macro Edge Research · underlying data U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Involuntary part-time

millions of people
Source: Macro Edge Research · underlying data U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Turnover

JOLTS rates
Source: Macro Edge Research · underlying data U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Wages against prices

the 12-month change in average hourly earnings divided by CPI all items · BLS's Real Earnings construction, so it is not exactly the gap between the two lines
Source: Macro Edge Research · underlying data U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Tightness

openings per unemployed person
Source: Macro Edge Research · underlying data U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Payrolls are the monthly change in total nonfarm employment from the establishment survey; the unemployment, participation and employment ratios come from the separate household survey, so the two can and do diverge. Each payroll print is revised in the following two months and again at the annual benchmark, which is why the three- and six-month averages are shown alongside it. Openings per unemployed person is computed by Macro Edge Research from JOLTS openings and the household survey. The Sahm rule is shown on its real-time basis, using unemployment data as published at the time rather than as later revised. Forecasts and track record → · Disclaimer